What is Lille's recent form like?

Lille is in excellent form, with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 league matches (WWDWW).

How does Toulouse perform at home?

Toulouse has a mixed home record, with 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses from 14 home games this season.

Are many goals expected in this match?

Yes, based on the average goals scored and conceded by both teams in home/away fixtures, Over 2.5 goals is a likely outcome, with a total of 2-3 goals expected.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring (BTTS Yes) is highly probable, as both Toulouse at home and Lille away have a strong tendency to score and concede goals.

What is the significance of Lille's league position?

Lille is currently 5th in Ligue 1, indicating they are competing for European qualification spots, which provides strong motivation and reflects their overall quality compared to Toulouse (9th).

Toulouse vs Lille Prediction | Predictify Sports

Soccer · Ligue 1Sun, Apr 12, 2026

Toulouse

Lille

Stadium de Toulouse

AI Prediction

Lille

1-2

Confidence65%

Match Summary

Lille enters this match as the favorite, backed by a stronger league position, superior recent form, and a solid away record. Toulouse, despite playing at home, has shown inconsistency. The match is expected to feature goals from both sides.

Key Factors

●Lille's superior league standing (5th vs 9th).
●Lille's excellent recent form (WWDWW).
●Lille's strong away performance (7 wins in 14 away games).
●Toulouse's inconsistent home form (5 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses).
●Both teams' average goals per game suggest an open match with scoring opportunities.

Upset Potential

Moderate. While Lille is the clear favorite, Toulouse's capacity for draws at home and the inherent unpredictability of Ligue 1 matches mean an upset or a draw is not out of the question, especially if Lille underperforms away from home.

Goal Markets

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS

Yes

Total Goals

2-3 Goals

Toulouse's home games average 2.7 total goals (1.5 For, 1.2 Against), while Lille's away games average 3.0 total goals (1.6 For, 1.4 Against). The combined offensive and defensive averages for this specific fixture lean towards Over 2.5 goals. Both teams also show a high propensity to score and concede; Toulouse scored in 9/14 home games and conceded in 8/14, while Lille scored in 8/14 away games and conceded in 10/14, making BTTS 'Yes' a strong likelihood.

Value Bets

Lille to WinMatch Result

+0.1% edge

Odds: 2.3Implied: 43%Model: 50%

Lille's superior league position, recent form, and strong away record suggest a higher probability of victory (estimated at 50%) than the implied probability from the odds (43.48%). This presents a positive edge for a Lille win.

Frequently Asked Questions

Form Guide

Toulouse

ESULTS

Lille

EMATCH

Betting Insight

Market Sentiment

Market sentiment is likely to favor Lille due to their stronger overall performance and recent form. The odds reflect Lille as the favorite.

Sharp Money

Information on sharp money movements was not provided in the data.

Line Movement

Information on line movement was not provided in the data.

Risk Assessment

Risk Score

Medium

!Toulouse's ability to secure draws at home (5 in 14 home games) could lead to an unexpected result.
!Lille's away form, while strong, still includes 5 losses from 14 matches, indicating they are not invincible on the road.
!Absence of head-to-head and injury data limits a comprehensive risk evaluation.

Model Confidence

75%

Data quality: The provided data is comprehensive for team statistics and league standings, allowing for a robust statistical analysis.

- Absence of head-to-head match history.
- Lack of specific player injury reports or suspensions.
- No detailed tactical information or recent news beyond form strings.

This prediction is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice.